Wiliete vs Recreativo do Libolo: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela
The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Recreativo do Libolo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiliete vs Recreativo do Libolo?
Wiliete starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiliete have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Recreativo do Libolo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | São Salvador(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wiliete win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Recreativo do Libolo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo 1-1 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Wiliete 1-0 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Recreativo do Libolo 2-2 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Wiliete 3-0 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo 0-2 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Wiliete 2-0 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo do Libolo vs Wiliete on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wiliete score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo do Libolo score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiliete | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Recreativo do Libolo | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiliete sit 3rd in Girabola (3 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo do Libolo sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recreativo do Libolo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wiliete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiliete vs Recreativo do Libolo?
- The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Recreativo do Libolo.
- Where and when is Wiliete vs Recreativo do Libolo played?
- Wiliete vs Recreativo do Libolo is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.