São Salvador vs Sporting de Cabinda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes São Salvador the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São Salvador vs Sporting de Cabinda?
São Salvador starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Salvador have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting de Cabinda have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Kabuscorp(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 6, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 São Salvador win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sporting de Cabinda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | São Salvador 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-1 São Salvador | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: São Salvador vs Sporting de Cabinda on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
São Salvador score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Salvador | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São Salvador sit 13th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | São Salvador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São Salvador vs Sporting de Cabinda?
- The Footlab model makes São Salvador the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is São Salvador vs Sporting de Cabinda played?
- São Salvador vs Sporting de Cabinda is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.