Dimona vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dimona Municipal Stadium, Dimona
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dimona vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Dimona (1,740) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dimona have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dimona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Dimona 1-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Dimona 1-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-3 Dimona | State Cup |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Dimona 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Dimona vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimona | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dimona sit 3rd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dimona vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
- Where and when is Dimona vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Dimona vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dimona Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 23, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsNordia Jerusalem
- Sep 23, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Yavne