Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,628) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Beitar Yavne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-3 Beitar Yavne | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Beitar Yavne on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beitar Yavne sit 8th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Sep 23, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 23, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 23, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Yavne