Match

Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Beitar YavneNordia Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,628) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,644).

Beitar Yavne win41 %
Draw24 %
Nordia Jerusalem win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beitar Yavne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 29, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)2-1Liga Alef
Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Beitar Yavne win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 27, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 2-3 Beitar YavneLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Beitar Yavne on Nov 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beitar Yavne1.41.447/158/15
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beitar Yavne sit 8th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Beitar Yavne229310273430
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
Beitar Yavne vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beitar Yavne and Nordia Jerusalem

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