FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FC Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,753) and Maccabi Yavne (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Yavne have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 FC Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 2-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Mar 21, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 1-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 3-3 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Yavne sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FC Jerusalem.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Sep 23, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 23, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsNordia Jerusalem