Hapoel Herzliya vs Tzeirey Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Tzeirey Tira?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Tzeirey Tira (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Tzeirey Tira have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tzeirey Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira 1-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-2 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Tzeirey Tira 2-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 3-0 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Herzliya on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tira sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Tzeirey Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Tzeirey Tira played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Tzeirey Tira is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Sep 23, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 23, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsNordia Jerusalem
- Sep 23, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Yavne