Dimona vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimona Municipal Stadium, Dimona
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dimona vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Dimona (1,722) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dimona have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dimona win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| May 9, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-0 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-0 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Dimona 3-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Dimona 4-3 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Dimona | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Dimona on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimona | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dimona sit 3rd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dimona vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Dimona vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Dimona vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimona Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 8, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 8, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 8, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel SderotvsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 9, 2027Beitar YavnevsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Jan 9, 2027FC JerusalemvsKfar Saba 1928