Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia JerusalemHapoel Herzliya

The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).

Nordia Jerusalem win38 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Herzliya win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-5Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)0-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Jan 18, 2025Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Sep 17, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Feb 16, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Sep 8, 2023Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya on Dec 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15
Hapoel Herzliya0.61.927/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Hapoel Herzliya225710223622
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya?
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nordia Jerusalem and Hapoel Herzliya

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