Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 15, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsFC Jerusalem
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Sderot
- Jan 15, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Azor
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 16, 2027Maccabi YavnevsDimona
- Jan 16, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Hadera
- Jan 16, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsBeitar Yavne