Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 18Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 30, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on January 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 8, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 8, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 9, 2027DimonavsNordia Jerusalem
- Jan 9, 2027Hapoel SderotvsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 9, 2027Beitar YavnevsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Jan 9, 2027FC JerusalemvsKfar Saba 1928