Match

Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 18Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya

Hapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).

Hapoel Herzliya win30 %
Draw25 %
Maccabi Ashdod win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-5Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)0-1Liga Alef
Maccabi Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)0-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)1-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 5, 2025Hapoel Herzliya 1-3 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Feb 7, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 2-2 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Oct 9, 2024Hapoel Herzliya 2-1 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Feb 26, 2024Maccabi Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Sep 21, 2023Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Mar 30, 2023Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod on Dec 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Herzliya0.61.927/157/15
Maccabi Ashdod2.01.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Maccabi Ashdod21777373528
14Hapoel Herzliya225710223622

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on January 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Herzliya and Maccabi Ashdod

Ready to know everything about football?