Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Chele Arena, Kobuleti
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Dinamo Batumi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Dinamo Batumi (1,645) and Dinamo Tbilisi (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Batumi have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dinamo Tbilisi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irao(away) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-7 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dinamo Batumi win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Dinamo Tbilisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi 2-2 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Dinamo Batumi 1-4 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi on Jun 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Batumi score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Batumi sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 22 matches) and Dinamo Tbilisi sit 2nd (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Dinamo Batumi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Dinamo Batumi.
- Where and when is Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi played?
- Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Chele Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.