Meshakhte vs Saburtalo: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili, Tkibuli
The Footlab AI model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Meshakhte. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meshakhte vs Saburtalo?
Saburtalo starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,476).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Meshakhte vs Saburtalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Meshakhte
5-4-1- 9I. Sikharulidze
- 27G. Kantaria
- 30M. Pyrogov
- 22T. Šikalo
- 7E. Jijavadze
- 26B. Gabiskiria
- 13G. Burduli
- 40L. Ugrekhelidze
- 38I. Zotko
- 31Eric Pimentel
- 29L. Shovnadze
Saburtalo
4-2-3-1- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 8B. Kardava
- 18Lucas Brune
- 6N. Dadiani
- 27G. Kutsia
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 40G. Kobuladze
- 33J. Tiboue
- 25A. Amisulashvili
- 31G. Makaridze
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meshakhte have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Saburtalo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gagra(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Meshakhte wins, 1 draw, 3 Saburtalo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Saburtalo 2-1 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Meshakhte 1-4 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Saburtalo 2-2 Meshakhte | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Meshakhte 0-3 Saburtalo | David Kipiani Cup |
Last archived meeting: Saburtalo vs Meshakhte on Jun 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Meshakhte score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Saburtalo score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Saburtalo | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meshakhte sit 10th in Erovnuli Liga (17 points from 27 matches) and Saburtalo sit 4th (46 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Saburtalo | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 30 | 46 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 17 |
A question about Meshakhte vs Saburtalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meshakhte vs Saburtalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Meshakhte.
- Where and when is Meshakhte vs Saburtalo played?
- Meshakhte vs Saburtalo is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.