Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Spaeri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Torpedo Kutaisi starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spaeri have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Torpedo Kutaisi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samgurali(home) | 3-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gagra(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(away) | 5-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dila(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spaeri win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Torpedo Kutaisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 Spaeri | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 1, 2026 | Spaeri 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Spaeri | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Spaeri 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Super Cup |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Spaeri 0-2 Torpedo Kutaisi | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Spaeri 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | David Kipiani Cup |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri on Jun 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spaeri score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spaeri | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spaeri sit 9th in Erovnuli Liga (23 points from 22 matches) and Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Spaeri.
- Where and when is Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi played?
- Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.