Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Chele Arena, Kobuleti
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Batumi the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Samgurali. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Dinamo Batumi (1,645) and Samgurali (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Batumi have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Samgurali have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Irao(away) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(home) | 0-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | WIT Georgia(away) | 2-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dinamo Batumi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Samgurali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Samgurali 0-4 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi 3-1 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Samgurali 1-1 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Samgurali 4-0 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Dinamo Batumi 1-2 Samgurali | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | Samgurali 3-0 Dinamo Batumi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Batumi score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Samgurali score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Samgurali | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Batumi sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 22 matches) and Samgurali sit 6th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dinamo Batumi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 34 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Batumi the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Samgurali.
- Where and when is Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali played?
- Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Chele Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.