Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Torpedo Kutaisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Saburtalo (1,776) and Torpedo Kutaisi (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Torpedo Kutaisi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 3-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Larne(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Larne(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dila(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saburtalo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Torpedo Kutaisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 4-3 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Saburtalo 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi | Super Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Saburtalo 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Saburtalo 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | David Kipiani Cup |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saburtalo sit 3rd in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 20 matches) and Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
- The Footlab model makes Saburtalo the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Torpedo Kutaisi.
- Where and when is Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi played?
- Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.