Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Teknikuri Tsentri, Rustavi
The Footlab AI model makes Rustavi the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Dinamo Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rustavi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Rustavi (1,693) and Dinamo Tbilisi (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rustavi
4-3-3- 9Jean
- 10P. Osei
- 5Kevin William Ceijas
- 22Y. Nakano
- 13A. Gujabidze
- 7K. S. Abdul
- 3V. Patsatsia
- 19N. Chikovani
- 4David
- 2S. Andghuladze
- 21P. Beruashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-3-3- 14M. Do Couto
- 7K. Doltmurziev
- 11M. Vatsadze
- 23J. Kankava
- 22N. Ninua
- 10G. Kharaishvili
- 27N. Kurdić
- 17P. Psaltis
- 13M. Pourzitídis
- 6Leonardo Santos
- 20Lucas Flores
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rustavi have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dinamo Tbilisi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rustavi wins, 2 draws, 2 Dinamo Tbilisi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 0-3 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Rustavi 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Rustavi 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Rustavi 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 Rustavi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Rustavi on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rustavi score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rustavi | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rustavi sit 1st in Erovnuli Liga (49 points from 28 matches) and Dinamo Tbilisi sit 3rd (48 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 49 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 48 |
A question about Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rustavi the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Dinamo Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi played?
- Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Teknikuri Tsentri, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.