Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen DASK Brestski, Brest
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Brest the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Bate Borisov. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Dinamo Brest (1,728) and Bate Borisov (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Brest have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bate Borisov have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Dinamo Brest win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bate Borisov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bate Borisov 0-3 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dinamo Brest 3-0 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Bate Borisov 2-4 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Bate Borisov 0-3 Dinamo Brest | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Dinamo Brest 2-0 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Bate Borisov 3-1 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Brest score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bate Borisov score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bate Borisov | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Brest sit 4th in Premier League (31 points from 19 matches) and Bate Borisov sit 14th (14 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Brest the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Bate Borisov.
- Where and when is Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov played?
- Dinamo Brest vs Bate Borisov is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen DASK Brestski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.