Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Dynama, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Brest. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?
Dinamo Minsk starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Minsk have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Dinamo Brest have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 1-2 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Dinamo Minsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dinamo Brest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dinamo Brest 1-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Dinamo Brest 0-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 5-0 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Dinamo Brest 1-1 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Dinamo Brest 1-3 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Brest vs Dinamo Minsk on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Minsk score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Brest score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinamo Brest | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Minsk sit 1st in Premier League (36 points from 15 matches) and Dinamo Brest sit 4th (31 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Dinamo Brest.
- Where and when is Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest played?
- Dinamo Minsk vs Dinamo Brest is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Dynama, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.