Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anzhi Arena, Kaspiysk
The Footlab model makes Baltika the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Dinamo Makhachkala (1,921) and Baltika (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Makhachkala have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Baltika have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Baltika win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-2 Baltika | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Baltika 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Baltika 2-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-0 Baltika | First League |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-2 Baltika | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Baltika | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika played?
- Dinamo Makhachkala vs Baltika is played on November 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anzhi Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.