Rubin vs Rodina Moskva: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab AI model makes Rubin the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Rodina Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rubin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Rodina Moskva?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Rubin (1,868) and Rodina Moskva (1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rubin vs Rodina Moskva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rubin
3-4-2-1- 10E. Salcedo
- 6U. Iwu
- 14I. Saavedra
- 23R. Bezrukov
- 22V. Hodža
- 8B. Jočić
- 11N. Gripshi
- 2E. Teslenko
- 13J. Urozov
- 98N. Lobov
- 25A. Nigmatullin
Rodina Moskva
4-3-3- 17S. Bakaev
- 7G. Onugkha
- 9A. Maksimenko
- 5A. Egorychev
- 8Iker Pozo
- 10Y. Reyna
- 26A. Meshchaninov
- 50Rodrigo Becão
- 80S. Bessmertny
- 3L. Goglichidze
- 1S. Aydarov
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Rodina Moskva have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Rubin win, 2 draws, 2 Rodina Moskva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva 1-1 Rubin | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva 5-0 Rubin | Cup |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Rubin 1-4 Rodina Moskva | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Rodina Moskva 0-0 Rubin | First League |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Rubin 2-0 Rodina Moskva | First League |
Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva vs Rubin on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 3/15 |
| Rodina Moskva | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Rubin vs Rodina Moskva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Rodina Moskva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rubin the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Rodina Moskva.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Rodina Moskva played?
- Rubin vs Rodina Moskva is played on November 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.