Dynamo vs Fakel: prediction and stats
CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)VTB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Fakel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo vs Fakel?
Dynamo starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dynamo vs Fakel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dynamo
4-3-3- 11Arthur Gomes
- 91Y. Gladyshev
- 70K. Tyukavin
- 15D. Glebov
- 10Bitello
- 74D. Fomin
- 57David Ricardo
- 4J. Cáceres
- 8Rubens
- 55M. Osipenko
- 99A. Lunev
Fakel
3-4-3- 90A. Koksharov
- 19B. Pusi
- 17A. Kovalev
- 11A. Sutormin
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 10I. Alshin
- 23V. Yakimov
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 55D. Todorović
- 53M. Bardachev
- 96I. Obukhov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Fakel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dynamo wins, 3 draws, 1 Fakel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fakel 0-1 Dynamo | Cup |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Fakel 1-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Dynamo 3-1 Fakel | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Fakel 1-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Dynamo 0-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Dynamo 0-2 Fakel | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Dynamo vs Fakel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo vs Fakel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Dynamo vs Fakel played?
- Dynamo vs Fakel is played on November 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at VTB Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.