Dinamo Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dinamo Minsk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Dinamo Minsk II (1,369) and Ostrovets FC (1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Minsk II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ostrovets FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bumprom(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Dinamo Minsk II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ostrovets FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ostrovets FC 1-1 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 0-1 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk II 0-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Ostrovets FC 0-3 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
| May 3, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk II 3-0 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ostrovets FC vs Dinamo Minsk II on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Minsk II score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Minsk II sit 11th in 1. Division (28 points from 21 matches) and Ostrovets FC sit 12th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dinamo Minsk II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk II | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 28 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dinamo Minsk II.
- Where and when is Dinamo Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC played?
- Dinamo Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.