Shakhter Soligorsk vs Smorgon: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Budaŭnik (Stroitel'), Soligorsk
The Footlab model makes Shakhter Soligorsk the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Smorgon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shakhter Soligorsk vs Smorgon?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Shakhter Soligorsk (1,456) and Smorgon (1,431).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shakhter Soligorsk have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Smorgon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Niva(home) | 2-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BATE II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shakhter Soligorsk win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Smorgon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Smorgon 2-0 Shakhter Soligorsk | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Smorgon 2-0 Shakhter Soligorsk | Premier League |
| May 26, 2024 | Shakhter Soligorsk 2-2 Smorgon | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Shakhter Soligorsk 2-0 Smorgon | Premier League |
| May 21, 2023 | Smorgon 1-3 Shakhter Soligorsk | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Smorgon 2-2 Shakhter Soligorsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Smorgon vs Shakhter Soligorsk on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shakhter Soligorsk score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Smorgon score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhter Soligorsk | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Smorgon | 2.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shakhter Soligorsk sit 9th in 1. Division (29 points from 21 matches) and Smorgon sit 14th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 29 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shakhter Soligorsk vs Smorgon?
- The Footlab model makes Shakhter Soligorsk the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Smorgon.
- Where and when is Shakhter Soligorsk vs Smorgon played?
- Shakhter Soligorsk vs Smorgon is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Budaŭnik (Stroitel'), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.