Minsk II vs Orsha: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadyen Tarpeda, Minsk
The Footlab AI model makes Minsk II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Orsha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Minsk II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,065 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minsk II vs Orsha?
Minsk II starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,353 vs 1,236).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Minsk II vs Orsha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Minsk II
4-3-3- 9I. Bondarenko
- 19V. Malyutin
- 7G. Bulatsky
- 5V. Zholudov
- 18Dmitry Morozov
- 17E. Kindruk
- 4P. Sheremet
- 14V. Ganchuk
- 3D. Gorkovsky
- 2V. Dikhtievskiy
- 1M. Sukharenko
Orsha
4-3-3- 11D. Stain
- 16M. Pashkevich
- 17Y. Kulesh
- 10Alexander Alexandrovich
- 9D. Tikhomirov
- 8I. Berezun
- 3N. Bykov
- 82V. Shalychev
- 5N. Tarbyakov
- 18N. Volchenko
- 1A. Volodkov
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minsk II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Orsha have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Volna(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bumprom(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lida(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Niva(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Minsk II win, 1 draw, 1 Orsha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Orsha 0-4 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Orsha 1-1 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Minsk II 0-1 Orsha | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Minsk II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Orsha score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minsk II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Orsha | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minsk II sit 13th in 1. Division (33 points from 29 matches) and Orsha sit 15th (27 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Minsk II | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 53 | 33 |
| 15 | Orsha | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 55 | 27 |
A question about Minsk II vs Orsha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minsk II vs Orsha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minsk II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Orsha.
- Where and when is Minsk II vs Orsha played?
- Minsk II vs Orsha is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Stadyen Tarpeda, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.