Osipovichy vs Gomel II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Junatstva, Osipovichy
The Footlab model makes Gomel II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Osipovichy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osipovichy vs Gomel II?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Osipovichy (1,227) and Gomel II (1,263).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osipovichy have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Gomel II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volna(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Osipovichy win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gomel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Gomel II 5-2 Osipovichy | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Osipovichy 1-2 Gomel II | 1. Division |
| May 23, 2025 | Gomel II 3-2 Osipovichy | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Gomel II vs Osipovichy on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osipovichy score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gomel II score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osipovichy | 1.2 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gomel II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osipovichy sit 18th in 1. Division (17 points from 21 matches) and Gomel II sit 16th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gomel II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Gomel II | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 51 | 17 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osipovichy vs Gomel II?
- The Footlab model makes Gomel II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Osipovichy.
- Where and when is Osipovichy vs Gomel II played?
- Osipovichy vs Gomel II is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Junatstva, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.