Niva vs Uni Minsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Niva the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niva vs Uni Minsk?
Niva starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,561 vs 1,329).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Niva vs Uni Minsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Niva
4-3-3- 7D. Galuza
- 62M. Gordeychuk
- 29P. Pampukha
- 9A. Kuratnik
- 23D. Fedortsov
- 21N. Leshkevich
- 18V. Shcherbo
- 88R. Kozel
- 41A. Tkhagalegov
- 3M. Druchik
- 12N. Dovnar
Uni Minsk
4-3-3- 11V. Popov
- 29V. Kiselev
- 95Ivan Vorobyev
- 33D. Lapin
- 69Yahor Snapkou
- 39O. Patotskiy
- 14R. Yamlikhanov
- 98M. Svidinskiy
- 32V. Urbanovich
- 3D. Turovets
- 13K. Pankratov
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niva have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Uni Minsk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gomel II(home) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Volna(home) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slonim(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Niva wins, 1 draw, 0 Uni Minsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Uni Minsk 1-3 Niva | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Niva 2-2 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Uni Minsk 0-4 Niva | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Niva score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niva | 2.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niva sit 2nd in 1. Division (61 points from 29 matches) and Uni Minsk sit 14th (29 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Niva | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 76 | 35 | 61 |
| 14 | Uni Minsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 36 | 29 |
A question about Niva vs Uni Minsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niva vs Uni Minsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Niva the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Niva vs Uni Minsk played?
- Niva vs Uni Minsk is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.