Niva vs Uni Minsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niva vs Uni Minsk?
Niva starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niva have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Uni Minsk have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lida(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orsha(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volna(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Niva win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Uni Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Uni Minsk 1-3 Niva | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Niva 2-2 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Uni Minsk 0-4 Niva | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Niva score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niva | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niva sit 1st in 1. Division (42 points from 21 matches) and Uni Minsk sit 13th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 42 |
| 9 | Niva | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niva vs Uni Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Niva vs Uni Minsk played?
- Niva vs Uni Minsk is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.