Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Dinamo Tbilisi (1,680) and Torpedo Kutaisi (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tbilisi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Torpedo Kutaisi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-7 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dila(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dinamo Tbilisi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Torpedo Kutaisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tbilisi sit 2nd in Erovnuli Liga (34 points from 21 matches) and Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 34 |
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi played?
- Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.