Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, Kutaisi
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Dinamo Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Torpedo Kutaisi (1,722) and Dinamo Tbilisi (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Kutaisi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dinamo Tbilisi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dila(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 4-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 3-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-7 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torpedo Kutaisi win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Tbilisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tbilisi score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th in Erovnuli Liga (31 points from 22 matches) and Dinamo Tbilisi sit 2nd (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 34 |
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Dinamo Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi played?
- Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.