Match

NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats

HNLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin

NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split

The Footlab AI model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely score is 1-1. If NK Varazdin wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split?

On Elo ratings, NK Varazdin has 1,906 points and HNK Hajduk Split 2,031.

36%29%35%
NK Varazdin winDrawHNK Hajduk Split win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1
  1. 10A. Latković
  1. 38Iuri Tavares
  2. 28I. Canjuga
  3. 22L. Mamić
  4. 12P. Bočkaj
  5. 8T. Duvnjak
  1. 13M. Mladenovski
  2. 16N. Tepšić
  3. 30L. Posinkovic
  4. 20G. Sikošek
  1. 33J. Silić

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Šego
  1. 9Dali
  2. 23M. Šotiček
  3. 20Alberto del Moral
  4. 8K. Fayad
  5. 7A. Sanyang
  1. 15D. Marešić
  2. 22M. Acapandié
  3. 6D. Hadžikadunić
  4. 32Š. Hrgović
  1. 33T. Silić

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 03:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Varazdin have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NK Varazdin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(home)1-2HNL
Oct 18, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)0-1HNL
Oct 11, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)1-0HNL
Sep 19, 2026NK Osijek(home)0-0HNL
Sep 14, 2026HNK Gorica(away)2-2HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961(away)2-2HNL
Oct 22, 2026FC Thun(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026NK Varazdin(home)1-0HNL
Oct 15, 2026Ajax(home)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 10, 2026Dinamo Zagreb(home)2-1HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NK Varazdin wins, 2 draws, 2 HNK Hajduk Split wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK VarazdinHNL
Aug 2, 2026NK Varazdin 2-1 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
May 3, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 3-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Feb 28, 2026NK Varazdin 1-1 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Nov 29, 2025HNK Hajduk Split 1-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Sep 13, 2025NK Varazdin 2-0 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL

Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

NK Varazdin score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
NK Varazdin1.60.976/157/15
HNK Hajduk Split2.10.886/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NK Varazdin sit 3rd in HNL (18 points from 11 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st (23 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1HNK Hajduk Split11722211123
3NK Varazdin11533151018

A question about NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The Footlab AI model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for HNK Hajduk Split.
Where and when is NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: NK Varazdin and HNK Hajduk Split

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