Diósgyőr II vs Mátészalka: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 20Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya, Miskolc
The Footlab model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Mátészalka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diósgyőr II vs Mátészalka?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Diósgyőr II (1,396) and Mátészalka (1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diósgyőr II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mátészalka have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 0-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | FC Hatvan(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Diósgyőr II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mátészalka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Mátészalka 2-3 Diósgyőr II | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Diósgyőr II 2-1 Mátészalka | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Diósgyőr II score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mátészalka score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diósgyőr II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mátészalka | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diósgyőr II sit 9th in NB III - Northeast (5 points from 4 matches) and Mátészalka sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mátészalka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Diósgyőr II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diósgyőr II vs Mátészalka?
- The Footlab model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Mátészalka.
- Where and when is Diósgyőr II vs Mátészalka played?
- Diósgyőr II vs Mátészalka is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.