Diriangén vs Jalapa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cacique Diriangén, Diriamba
The Footlab model makes Diriangén the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Jalapa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diriangén vs Jalapa?
Diriangén starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diriangén have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Jalapa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Xelajú(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-4 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rancho Santana(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | UNAN Managua(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&H Export(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Estelí(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Managua(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Walter Ferretti(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Diriangén win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jalapa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Jalapa 2-1 Diriangén | Primera Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Diriangén 2-1 Jalapa | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Diriangén 0-0 Jalapa | Primera Division |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Jalapa 2-3 Diriangén | Primera Division |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Jalapa 2-2 Diriangén | Primera Division |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Diriangén 4-1 Jalapa | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Diriangén score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Jalapa score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diriangén | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Jalapa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diriangén sit 2nd in Primera Division (11 points from 5 matches) and Jalapa sit 7th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Diriangén | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diriangén vs Jalapa?
- The Footlab model makes Diriangén the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Jalapa.
- Where and when is Diriangén vs Jalapa played?
- Diriangén vs Jalapa is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Cacique Diriangén, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.