San Marcos vs Walter Ferretti: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rosas Pampa, Huaraz
The Footlab model makes Walter Ferretti the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for San Marcos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Marcos vs Walter Ferretti?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate San Marcos (1,394) and Walter Ferretti (1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marcos have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Walter Ferretti have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UNAN Managua(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Managua(home) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&H Export(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rancho Santana(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Matagalpa(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jalapa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
San Marcos score 0.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Walter Ferretti score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcos | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Walter Ferretti | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marcos sit 9th in Primera Division (2 points from 5 matches) and Walter Ferretti sit 6th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Walter Ferretti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Marcos vs Walter Ferretti?
- The Footlab model makes Walter Ferretti the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for San Marcos.
- Where and when is San Marcos vs Walter Ferretti played?
- San Marcos vs Walter Ferretti is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rosas Pampa, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.