H&H Export vs Real Estelí: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador, Matagalpa
The Footlab model makes Real Estelí the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for H&H Export. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H&H Export vs Real Estelí?
Real Estelí starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,700 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, H&H Export have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Estelí have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Managua(away) | 1-6 | Primera Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jalapa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rancho Santana(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | San Marcos(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Walter Ferretti(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 H&H Export win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Real Estelí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | H&H Export 2-3 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Real Estelí 3-2 H&H Export | Primera Division |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Real Estelí 3-0 H&H Export | Primera Division |
| Sep 17, 2025 | H&H Export 3-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| May 11, 2025 | Real Estelí 1-0 H&H Export | Primera Division |
| May 7, 2025 | H&H Export 1-3 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: H&H Export vs Real Estelí on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
H&H Export score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&H Export | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Estelí | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H&H Export sit 5th in Primera Division (10 points from 5 matches) and Real Estelí sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Estelí | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | H&H Export | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H&H Export vs Real Estelí?
- The Footlab model makes Real Estelí the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for H&H Export.
- Where and when is H&H Export vs Real Estelí played?
- H&H Export vs Real Estelí is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.