UNAN Managua vs Managua: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 7Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Fútbol (UNAN), Managua
The Footlab model makes Managua the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for UNAN Managua. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNAN Managua vs Managua?
Managua starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,639 vs 1,429).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNAN Managua have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Managua have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Walter Ferretti(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jalapa(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Marcos(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rancho Santana(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | H&H Export(home) | 6-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Marcos(away) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jalapa(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rancho Santana(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UNAN Managua win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Managua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Managua 1-1 UNAN Managua | Primera Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | UNAN Managua 3-1 Managua | Primera Division |
| Nov 5, 2025 | UNAN Managua 0-3 Managua | Primera Division |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Managua 1-0 UNAN Managua | Primera Division |
| Apr 16, 2025 | UNAN Managua 1-3 Managua | Primera Division |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Managua 1-0 UNAN Managua | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Managua vs UNAN Managua on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UNAN Managua score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Managua score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNAN Managua | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Managua | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNAN Managua sit 2nd in Primera Division (14 points from 6 matches) and Managua sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | UNAN Managua | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNAN Managua vs Managua?
- The Footlab model makes Managua the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for UNAN Managua.
- Where and when is UNAN Managua vs Managua played?
- UNAN Managua vs Managua is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Nacional de Fútbol (UNAN), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.