Dnister Zalishchyky vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dnister Zalishchyky the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dnister Zalishchyky vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Dnister Zalishchyky (1,549) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi (1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Dnister Zalishchyky have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Podillya Khmelnytskyi have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(home) | 3-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(away) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinaz Vyshhorod(away) | 3-3 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Vorskla Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Dnister Zalishchyky score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Podillya Khmelnytskyi score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dnister Zalishchyky | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dnister Zalishchyky sit 3rd in Druha Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dnister Zalishchyky vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
- The Footlab model makes Dnister Zalishchyky the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
- Where and when is Dnister Zalishchyky vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi played?
- Dnister Zalishchyky vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi is played on September 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.