Match

PRO Vercelli vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli

PRO VercelliNovara

The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for PRO Vercelli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PRO Vercelli vs Novara?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate PRO Vercelli (1,678) and Novara (1,758).

PRO Vercelli win31 %
Draw30 %
Novara win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PRO Vercelli have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PRO Vercelli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026Pergolettese(home)1-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 26, 2026Pisa(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Monza(away)3-4Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)0-3Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juventus U23(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Alcione(away)1-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026Virtus Entella(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Sampdoria(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Ospitaletto(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PRO Vercelli win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Novara win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026PRO Vercelli 1-0 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 21, 2025Novara 0-1 PRO VercelliSerie C - Girone A
Feb 3, 2025PRO Vercelli 1-0 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 24, 2024Novara 1-0 PRO VercelliSerie C - Girone A
Mar 16, 2024Novara 2-2 PRO VercelliSerie C - Girone A
Nov 13, 2023PRO Vercelli 3-3 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: PRO Vercelli vs Novara on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PRO Vercelli score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PRO Vercelli1.01.729/156/15
Novara1.31.158/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

PRO Vercelli sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8PRO Vercelli1010111
18Novara1001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PRO Vercelli vs Novara?
The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for PRO Vercelli.
Where and when is PRO Vercelli vs Novara played?
PRO Vercelli vs Novara is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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