PRO Vercelli vs Novara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for PRO Vercelli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Novara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PRO Vercelli vs Novara?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate PRO Vercelli (1,610) and Novara (1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PRO Vercelli vs Novara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PRO Vercelli
4-3-3- 9M. Bertoli
- 11O. Sow
- 7M. Mallahi
- 14I. Iotti
- 18L. Piran
- 8A. Burruano
- 3L. Coccolo
- 25M. Pagliari
- 4L. van Koeverden
- 16N. Ronchi
- 97A. Livieri
Novara
4-3-3- 14M. Romano
- 9D. Zuppel
- 7E. Lanini
- 99G. Basso
- 19R. Collodel
- 11N. Ledonne
- 58M. Miceli
- 3S. Lartey
- 28A. Cannavaro
- 70A. Valdesi
- 33F. Brancolini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PRO Vercelli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Novara have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PRO Vercelli wins, 2 draws, 1 Novara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | PRO Vercelli 1-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Novara 0-1 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 3, 2025 | PRO Vercelli 1-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Novara 1-0 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Novara 2-2 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2023 | PRO Vercelli 3-3 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: PRO Vercelli vs Novara on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PRO Vercelli score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO Vercelli | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PRO Vercelli sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (9 points from 9 matches) and Novara sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | PRO Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
A question about PRO Vercelli vs Novara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PRO Vercelli vs Novara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for PRO Vercelli.
- Where and when is PRO Vercelli vs Novara played?
- PRO Vercelli vs Novara is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Giana ErminiovsJuventus U23
- Nov 22, 2026LeccovsLumezzane
- Nov 22, 2026Folgore CaratesevsArzignano Valchiampo
- Nov 22, 2026TrentovsCittadella
- Nov 22, 2026Desenzano CalvinavsAlbinoleffe
- Nov 22, 2026Dolomiti BellunesivsAthletic Carpi
- Nov 22, 2026AlcionevsOspitaletto
- Nov 22, 2026TrevisovsPergolettese