Don Benito vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito
The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Benito vs Xerez?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,937) and Xerez (1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Don Benito vs Xerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Don Benito
Not enough data to predict the Don Benito lineup.
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Xerez have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Don Benito wins, 2 draws, 1 Xerez win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xerez 0-0 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Xerez 2-2 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Don Benito 0-1 Xerez | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Don Benito score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Don Benito sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (13 points from 7 matches) and Xerez sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Don Benito | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | Xerez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Don Benito vs Xerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Xerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Don Benito the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Don Benito vs Xerez played?
- Don Benito vs Xerez is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 14, 2027MarbellavsAntoniano
- Feb 14, 2027Recreativo HuelvavsEstepona
- Feb 14, 2027TamaraceitevsAtlético Paso
- Feb 14, 2027Las Palmas IIvsLinares Deportivo
- Feb 14, 2027Real Betis IIvsSanluqueño
- Feb 14, 2027Mijas Las LagunasvsBadajoz
- Feb 14, 2027Atlético CentralvsTenerife II