Where and when is Don Benito vs Xerez played?

Don Benito vs Xerez is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Don Benito vs Xerez: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don Benito

Xerez

The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Xerez?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,912) and Xerez (1,927).

Don Benito win45 %

Draw30 %

Xerez win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Moralo(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026	Diocesano(home)	8-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026	Villafranca(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026	Jerez(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Amalia(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Don Benito win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Xerez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2025	Xerez 2-2 Don Benito	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 1, 2024	Don Benito 0-1 Xerez	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Don Benito on Apr 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Don Benito	2.1	0.7	6	6/15	6/15
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Xerez?: The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Xerez.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Xerez played?: Don Benito vs Xerez is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.