Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Dongen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Maassluis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Excelsior Maassluis starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Excelsior Maassluis have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Maassluis score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 8th in Derde Divisie (13 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior Maassluis sit 4th (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
A question about Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis played?
- Dongen vs Excelsior Maassluis is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.