Dordrecht vs Emmen: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Emmen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Emmen?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Dordrecht (1,630) and Emmen (1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs Emmen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 1Y. van Osch
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 6C. Staring
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 7T. Rhein
- 12F. Quispel
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 2J. Mukeh
- 1S. Karssies
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Emmen have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 5-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dordrecht wins, 1 draw, 2 Emmen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Dordrecht 1-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Emmen 2-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Dordrecht 3-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Emmen 1-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| May 18, 2024 | Dordrecht 0-1 Emmen | Eredivisie |
| May 14, 2024 | Emmen 2-2 Dordrecht | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Emmen sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 8 |
A question about Dordrecht vs Emmen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs Emmen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dordrecht.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs Emmen played?
- Dordrecht vs Emmen is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.