FC OSS vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
The Footlab model makes FC OSS the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC OSS vs Helmond Sport?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate FC OSS (1,631) and Helmond Sport (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC OSS have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Helmond Sport have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 4-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC OSS win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Helmond Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Helmond Sport 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | FC OSS 0-3 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2025 | FC OSS 1-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-0 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FC OSS 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs FC OSS on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC OSS score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC OSS | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC OSS sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC OSS vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab model makes FC OSS the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is FC OSS vs Helmond Sport played?
- FC OSS vs Helmond Sport is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Frans Heesen Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.