Dordrecht vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dordrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Vitesse?
On Elo ratings, Dordrecht has 1,597 points and Vitesse 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 16P. Dahbo
- 34Y. Ouallil
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 2S. Bonnah
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dordrecht wins, 2 draws, 2 Vitesse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Vitesse 1-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Dordrecht 1-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Vitesse 0-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Dordrecht 2-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Vitesse 3-0 Dordrecht | Eredivisie |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Dordrecht 2-6 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Vitesse sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
A question about Dordrecht vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs Vitesse played?
- Dordrecht vs Vitesse is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.