Emmen vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs Helmond Sport?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Emmen (1,683) and Helmond Sport (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Helmond Sport have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 6-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Emmen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Helmond Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Emmen 4-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Emmen 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Emmen vs Helmond Sport on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Emmen vs Helmond Sport played?
- Emmen vs Helmond Sport is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.