Emmen vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs Helmond Sport?
Emmen starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,562).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Emmen vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 7T. Rhein
- 12F. Quispel
- 21A. Hojabrpour
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 25R. Kongolo
- 1S. Karssies
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 11L. Cicero
- 34T. Essakkati
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 19H. Ingason
- 10D. Huiberts
- 4B. Koglin
- 20S. Dekkers
- 5T. Poll
- 43T. Landheer
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Helmond Sport have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Emmen wins, 1 draw, 1 Helmond Sport win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Emmen 4-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Emmen 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Emmen vs Helmond Sport on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (22 points from 11 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 22 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Emmen vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Emmen vs Helmond Sport played?
- Emmen vs Helmond Sport is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.