Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Dordrecht (1,659) and FC Eindhoven (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Eindhoven have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dordrecht win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 FC Eindhoven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Dordrecht 3-4 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 2-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Dordrecht 3-3 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 0-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Dordrecht 0-0 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Eindhoven sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven?
- The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven played?
- Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.