Waalwijk vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Waalwijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,550 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Vitesse?
On Elo ratings, Waalwijk has 1,802 points and Vitesse 1,761.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Waalwijk vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 6L. Postma
- 93V. Misidjan
- 22T. van de Loo
- 7R. Fage
- 11Yorem van der Veen
- 30J. de Wijs
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 5Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo
- 1N. Schiks
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 16P. Dahbo
- 33M. Marschalk
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 2S. Bonnah
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 12:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Waalwijk wins, 2 draws, 1 Vitesse win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vitesse 1-1 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Vitesse 2-1 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Waalwijk 1-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Vitesse 0-2 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 12 matches) and Vitesse sit 9th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 16 |
A question about Waalwijk vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs Vitesse played?
- Waalwijk vs Vitesse is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.