Helmond Sport vs Roda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,462 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Roda?
Roda starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,794 vs 1,620).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Helmond Sport vs Roda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Helmond Sport
4-2-3-1- 11L. Cicero
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 34T. Essakkati
- 7J. van der Sluijs
- 10D. Huiberts
- 4B. Koglin
- 20S. Dekkers
- 5T. Poll
- 43T. Landheer
- 1M. Bergsen
Roda
3-4-2-1- 9A. van den Hurk
- 4J. Nisbet
- 5K. Jansen
- 11D. Dorenbosch
- 7C. Seedorf
- 17Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
- 6M. Paulissen
- 3M. Tol
- 15L. Beerten
- 33D. Van den Buijs
- 1J. Treichel
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Roda have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Helmond Sport win, 2 draws, 3 Roda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Roda 1-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-3 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Roda 3-2 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Helmond Sport 3-3 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Roda vs Helmond Sport on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Roda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 12 matches) and Roda sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Roda | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 9 |
A question about Helmond Sport vs Roda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Roda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Roda played?
- Helmond Sport vs Roda is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.