De Graafschap vs FC Volendam: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap vs FC Volendam?
FC Volendam starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Volendam have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 De Graafschap win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 FC Volendam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | FC Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-3 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2022 | FC Volendam 3-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 10, 2021 | De Graafschap 0-3 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2021 | FC Volendam 1-4 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 7, 2020 | De Graafschap 2-5 FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC Volendam vs De Graafschap on Dec 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 2.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Volendam score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Volendam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Volendam sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs FC Volendam?
- The Footlab model makes FC Volendam the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is De Graafschap vs FC Volendam played?
- De Graafschap vs FC Volendam is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.