FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate FC Eindhoven (1,633) and Dordrecht (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dordrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Eindhoven win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Dordrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Dordrecht 3-4 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 2-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Dordrecht 3-3 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 0-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Dordrecht 0-0 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Dordrecht sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht played?
- FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.