Dordrecht vs Heracles: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Heracles?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,605).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs Heracles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Heracles have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Dordrecht wins, 1 draw, 4 Heracles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2023 | Dordrecht 1-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Heracles 8-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Heracles 3-0 Dordrecht | KNVB Beker |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Dordrecht 2-3 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Dec 12, 2014 | Heracles 1-1 Dordrecht | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Heracles sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
A question about Dordrecht vs Heracles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs Heracles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Dordrecht.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs Heracles played?
- Dordrecht vs Heracles is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.