De Graafschap vs FC OSS: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
The Footlab model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for FC OSS. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate De Graafschap (1,702) and FC OSS (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC OSS have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 4-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 De Graafschap win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC OSS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | FC OSS 2-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | De Graafschap 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC OSS 0-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-0 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-1 FC OSS | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 1, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC OSS vs De Graafschap on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 2.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC OSS score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| FC OSS | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (1 points from 3 matches) and FC OSS sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
- The Footlab model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for FC OSS.
- Where and when is De Graafschap vs FC OSS played?
- De Graafschap vs FC OSS is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.