De Graafschap vs FC OSS: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for FC OSS. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
On Elo ratings, De Graafschap has 1,727 points and FC OSS 1,677.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for De Graafschap vs FC OSS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 10F. de Jong
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 11Toivo Mero
- 23M. Diemers
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 15T. Kok
- 5L. Schoppema
- 1T. Wieggers
FC OSS
4-3-3- 19F. Nsingi
- 17M. Hinoke
- 27M. de Lannoy
- 8M. Esajas
- 10R. van der Venne
- 11J. Mathieu
- 23D. Vianello
- 2I. Pata
- 26Julian Kuijpers
- 3L. Miguel
- 1M. Havekotte
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC OSS have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 3-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | MVV(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 De Graafschap wins, 1 draw, 0 FC OSS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | FC OSS 2-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | De Graafschap 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC OSS 0-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-0 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-1 FC OSS | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 1, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC OSS vs De Graafschap on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC OSS score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| FC OSS | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (12 points from 12 matches) and FC OSS sit 14th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FC OSS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 13 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 12 |
A question about De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for FC OSS.
- Where and when is De Graafschap vs FC OSS played?
- De Graafschap vs FC OSS is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.