VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,659) and FC Eindhoven (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Eindhoven have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 3-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VVV Venlo win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Eindhoven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo 1-0 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 0-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2025 | VVV Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 13, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 1-3 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 23, 2024 | VVV Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 10, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 0-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Eindhoven sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?
- The Footlab model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven played?
- VVV Venlo vs FC Eindhoven is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.