Waalwijk vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1. If Waalwijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
Waalwijk starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,738 vs 1,637).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Waalwijk vs Den Bosch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 8J. Nap
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 10T. van Leeuwen
- 93V. Misidjan
- 30J. de Wijs
- 55N. Held
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 1N. Schiks
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Den Bosch have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waalwijk wins, 2 draws, 2 Den Bosch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Waalwijk 2-3 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Den Bosch 2-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Waalwijk 2-3 Den Bosch | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Waalwijk 2-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Den Bosch 2-3 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 23, 2018 | Den Bosch 0-0 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Waalwijk vs Den Bosch on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Den Bosch sit 14th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs Den Bosch played?
- Waalwijk vs Den Bosch is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.