Waalwijk vs Den Bosch: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Waalwijk (1,763) and Den Bosch (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Den Bosch have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waalwijk win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Den Bosch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Waalwijk 2-3 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Den Bosch 2-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Waalwijk 2-3 Den Bosch | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Waalwijk 2-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Den Bosch 2-3 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 23, 2018 | Den Bosch 0-0 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Waalwijk vs Den Bosch on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 14th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Den Bosch sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Waalwijk | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Waalwijk | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
- The Footlab model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs Den Bosch played?
- Waalwijk vs Den Bosch is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.